Sky News Pulse: One Nation support falls as Labor retakes lead

Sky News Pulse: Support for One Nation Falls as Labor Retakes Lead

Chief Election Analyst Tom Connell provides a detailed breakdown of the latest Sky News poll results [00:19], highlighting shifting voter support, preferred prime minister ratings, and economic sentiment in Australia.

1. Primary Vote Changes

Labor: Primary vote slightly dropped to 28%, but Labor moved ahead of One Nation [00:25].

One Nation: Dropped 4 percentage points in a single survey, falling behind Labor [00:30].

Coalition: Support increased, bringing their primary vote up to 20% [00:37].

Margin Shift: The gap between One Nation and the Coalition narrowed significantly from 13% to 6% [00:37].

Primary Vote Breakdown

+------------------------------------------+

| Labor: [####################] 28% |

| One Nation:[############## ] ~22-24%|

| Coalition: [############# ] 20% |

+------------------------------------------+

2. Leadership Ratings

Preferred Prime Minister:

Anthony Albanese: Gained +5% [00:44].

Pauline Hanson: Lost -5% [00:44].

Lead Gap: The gap between Albanese and Hanson expanded from 9% to 19% [00:44].

Angus Taylor (Net Satisfaction):

Taylor’s satisfaction rating dropped to 33% [00:58], driving his net satisfaction score into negative terri

tory at -16% [01:06].

This marks a sharp decline from April, when his net satisfaction rating stood at -1% [01:06].

3. One Nation Voter Certainty & Geography

When asked about the firmness of their vote intention [01:13]:

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| Firm One Nation Voters | 56% (Just over half) |

| Leaning One Nation (Could change)| ~32% (About a third) |

| Unsure (Currently leaning) | 12% |

+-------------------------------------------------------------+

Suburban Sentiment: Voters in outer metro areas are significantly more committed, with two-thirds (66%) describing themselves as firm One Nation voters [01:36]. This makes outer metropolitan seats a primary vulnerability for Labor [01:42].

4. Economic Sentiment & Future Outlook

National Prosperity (Compared to 12 months ago) [01:55]:

Stronger / More Prosperous: 15% [02:02]

Weaker / Poorer: 51% [02:02]

Unemployment Expectations (Next 12 Months) [02:09]:

55% expect unemployment to rise [02:09]. While high, this represents a slight decline compared to expectations following the outbreak of the Iran war in April [02:16].

Sky News Pulse: One Nation support falls as Labor retakes lead

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